Is it a bad time to wash the car?
It's fine, not great. Next 48 hours in Sarasota: peak rain chance 30% across 48 NWS hourly periods. Thunder peak 0%.
Rain in the next 48 hours
| Hour | Rain | Thunder | Temp | Sky |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 12a | 3% | 0% | 74° | 38% |
| 10-29 1a | 3% | 0% | 73° | 42% |
| 10-29 2a | 2% | 0% | 73° | 54% |
| 10-29 3a | 2% | 0% | 72° | 51% |
| 10-29 4a | 2% | 0% | 72° | 46% |
| 10-29 5a | 2% | 0% | 72° | 51% |
| 10-29 6a | 2% | 0% | 72° | 47% |
| 10-29 7a | 2% | 0% | 72° | 55% |
| 10-29 8a | 2% | 0% | 72° | 49% |
| 10-29 9a | 2% | 0% | 75° | 42% |
| 10-29 10a | 2% | 0% | 78° | 42% |
| 10-29 11a | 1% | 0% | 80° | 41% |
| 10-29 12p | 2% | 0% | 83° | 39% |
| 10-29 1p | 2% | 0% | 85° | 42% |
| 10-29 2p | 8% | 0% | 86° | 36% |
| 10-29 3p | 13% | 0% | 86° | 40% |
| 10-29 4p | 15% | 0% | 87° | 32% |
| 10-29 5p | 15% | 0% | 86° | 34% |
| 10-29 6p | 15% | 0% | 84° | 39% |
| 10-29 7p | 8% | 0% | 82° | 31% |
| 10-29 8p | 3% | 0% | 78° | 21% |
| 10-29 9p | 2% | 0% | 77° | 17% |
| 10-29 10p | 0% | 0% | 76° | 17% |
| 10-29 11p | 0% | 0% | 75° | 22% |
| 10-30 12a | 0% | 0% | 74° | 28% |
| 10-30 1a | 2% | 0% | 74° | 36% |
| 10-30 2a | 0% | 0% | 73° | 43% |
| 10-30 3a | 0% | 0% | 72° | 62% |
| 10-30 4a | 0% | 0% | 72° | 65% |
| 10-30 5a | 0% | 0% | 72° | 59% |
| 10-30 6a | 0% | 0% | 72° | 67% |
| 10-30 7a | 2% | 0% | 72° | 61% |
| 10-30 8a | 3% | 0% | 72° | 48% |
| 10-30 9a | 3% | 0% | 74° | 39% |
| 10-30 10a | 3% | 0% | 77° | 38% |
| 10-30 11a | 3% | 0% | 80° | 37% |
| 10-30 12p | 3% | 0% | 83° | 38% |
| 10-30 1p | 3% | 0% | 85° | 38% |
| 10-30 2p | 30% | 0% | 86° | 38% |
| 10-30 3p | 30% | 0% | 86° | 40% |
| 10-30 4p | 30% | 0% | 86° | 41% |
| 10-30 5p | 30% | 0% | 85° | 43% |
| 10-30 6p | 30% | 0% | 83° | 43% |
| 10-30 7p | 30% | 0% | 81° | 44% |
| 10-30 8p | 6% | 0% | 78° | 45% |
| 10-30 9p | 6% | 0% | 77° | 41% |
| 10-30 10p | 6% | 0% | 76° | 37% |
| 10-30 11p | 6% | 0% | 75° | 33% |
Sky = NWS sky cover %. We use the highest hourly rain chance in the next 48 hours (not a total precip probability).
NWS hourly forecast for Sarasota (grid TBW/71,70), updated 2026-10-28T20:41:54+00:00. Pulled 2026-10-29T04:20:06.319Z (UTC). Partial pull: uv: no UV. Last good copies are used where noted.
How the verdict works
Rule: each check gets Good, Meh or Bad. The verdict is the worst of them. Heat-index bands follow the NWS heat index chart; every other threshold is ours.
| Check | Input | Thresholds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWS active alerts | None | Severe/Extreme = Bad; other = Meh | Good |
| Highest rain chance, next 48 h | 30% (48 forecast hours) | 50%+ = Bad; 30–49% = Meh; under 30% = Good | Meh |
| Highest thunder chance, next 48 h | 0% | 40%+ = Meh (storm cells; no Bad on thunder alone for a car wash) | Good |
Result: worst = Meh.
How we know
NWS hourly forecast for Sarasota, next 48 hours.
- National Weather Service API (api.weather.gov), hourly forecast and alerts for Siesta Key: Official NWS hourly forecast (temperature, chance of precipitation, wind) and active alerts. U.S. government data, public domain.
Last updated: page rebuilt October 29, 2026. Data status: beach: ok, last good October 29, 2026.
FAQ
Is peak hourly rain chance the same as "chance it rains at all"?
No. We show the highest single-hour probability of precipitation from NWS. That is stricter than a 12-hour period chance and easier to check.