Is it a bad time to skip storm prep?
Go for it. Tropical alerts: none. Outlook: Atlantic outlook shows no significant formation chance (max 0%). Gas: coming soon (EIA key).
National Hurricane Center outlook
Issued 2026-10-28T23:15:00+00:00 · WMO ABNT20 · NWS product
000 ABNT20 KNHC 282315 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Katz/Papin
Active alerts we count
None of the Hurricane / Tropical / Storm Surge / Tornado Warning / Flash Flood Warning set is active for our land/marine points.
Gas prices: coming soon — set EIA_API_KEY or data/keys.json → eia to score Gulf Coast regular gasoline as a prep cue (does not change the verdict until then). The existing gas timing page still uses the keyless FRED national series for ordinary "is gas expensive?" checks.
How the verdict works
Rule: each check gets Good, Meh or Bad. The verdict is the worst of them. Heat-index bands follow the NWS heat index chart; every other threshold is ours.
| Check | Input | Thresholds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical / surge / severe alerts near Sarasota | None | Warning (or Severe/Extreme) = Bad; any other matching watch/advisory = Meh | Good |
| NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook (ABNT20) | 2026-10-28T23:15:00+00:00 | Florida/Gulf + 60%+ formation = Bad; Florida/Gulf + disturbance/20%+ = Meh; quiet outlook = Good | Good |
Result: worst = Good.
How we know
NWS alerts and the NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook, pulled hourly. EIA gas is optional behind a key.
- National Weather Service API (api.weather.gov), hourly forecast and alerts for Siesta Key: Official NWS hourly forecast (temperature, chance of precipitation, wind) and active alerts. U.S. government data, public domain.
- National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook (ABNT20): Official NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook text via api.weather.gov products. Public domain U.S. government data.
- U.S. EIA gasoline prices (pending API key): Not scored on storm-prep until EIA_API_KEY (or data/keys.json eia) is set. The separate /travel/gas page still uses the keyless FRED national series.
Last updated: page rebuilt October 29, 2026. Data status: beach: ok, last good October 29, 2026 · outdoor: ok, last good October 29, 2026.
FAQ
Does a quiet outlook mean I can ignore hurricane season?
No. Outlooks change. Recheck after the next NHC cycle and watch local alerts.
Why are gas prices pending?
The high-resolution EIA API needs a free key. Until then gas does not affect this verdict.